Influencia de la inversión pública en infraestructura sobre el crecimiento de la economía peruana, periodo 1980-2011.
Moreno Diaz, Elvira Victoria
MetadatosMostrar el registro completo del ítem
Public Investment in Infrastructure during the past 32 years has been characterized by high volatility and insufficient resources. For work, we analyzed the evolution of the Fiscal Policy of Peru between 1980 and 2011, characterized by a cumbersome tax structure and improper handling of public spending which was to improve and be effective after reforms that helped to diminish the fiscal deficit in the country, further analyzed the evolution of Public Investment in Infrastructure and Economic Growth in Peru, period 1980 - 2011, of which we can see that the data has not been stable over the period studied. Data were collected from Public Investment in Infrastructure and GDP from 1980 to 2011, and then use them in an econometric model which helped us to see if it accepts or rejects the hypothesis. From the results obtained in the model was accepted hypothesis that the public investment in infrastructure positively influences the Economic Growth Peru, but also proved to be non-significant. So in order to understand a little more the results, we decided to divide the Public Investment in Infrastructure in five sectors which were sanitation, health and education, transport, energy and telecommunications, these variables being independent of a second model, the result of which was that only public investment in sanitation, health and education, and Transport are the sectors that positively influence the country's economic growth and the other two because their coefficients were negative, with all significant variables and smooth autocorrelation and normality .