Consumo de energía eléctrica y el crecimiento económico en el Perú, 2007-2021
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Date
2024
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Universidad Nacional de Trujillo
Abstract
Esta investigación pretende determinar la relación existente entre el consumo de energía eléctrica y el crecimiento económico en el Perú en el periodo 2007-2021, utilizando un modelo de vectores autorregresivos para probar la causalidad de Granger entre las variables, llegando a la conclusión de que se verifica evidencia empírica de una relación unidireccional directa en sentido de Granger de crecimiento económico hacia consumo eléctrico, lo que se significa que, ante un mayor crecimiento económico en el Perú, tanto las familias como las empresas aumentaran su consumo de energía eléctrica. Además, en base a los resultados se realiza sugerencias a los organismos públicos para formular políticas y proyectos que fomenten el desarrollo sostenible del mercado eléctrico.
ABSTRACT This research aims to determine the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in Peru during the period 2007-2021, using a vector autoregressive model to test Granger causality between the variables. The conclusion reached is that there is empirical evidence of a unidirectional Granger-causal relationship from economic growth to electricity consumption, indicating that with higher economic growth in Peru, both households and businesses will increase their electricity consumption. Furthermore, based on the results, suggestions are made to public agencies to formulate policies and projects that promote the sustainable development of the electricity market.
ABSTRACT This research aims to determine the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in Peru during the period 2007-2021, using a vector autoregressive model to test Granger causality between the variables. The conclusion reached is that there is empirical evidence of a unidirectional Granger-causal relationship from economic growth to electricity consumption, indicating that with higher economic growth in Peru, both households and businesses will increase their electricity consumption. Furthermore, based on the results, suggestions are made to public agencies to formulate policies and projects that promote the sustainable development of the electricity market.
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Keywords
Crecimiento económico, Consumo de energía eléctrica, Test estadístico