El gasto público en seguridad ciudadana y su incidencia en el nivel, delincuencia de la región La Libertad, período 2010-2017
No Thumbnail Available
Date
2020
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Universidad Nacional de Trujillo
Abstract
La presente investigación trata sobre el gasto público en seguridad ciudadana y su incidencia en el nivel de delincuencia de la Región La Libertad, durante el periodo 2010 – 2017. Como objetivo principal es determinar si el gasto público en seguridad ciudadana ha incidido en el nivel de delincuencia, asimismo, se hace un análisis estadístico descriptivo y tendencial de cada variable y se mide el impacto a través de un modelo econométrico doble logarítmico. La información para el presente estudio se obtuvo a través del Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas y el Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática, con el fin de obtener la serie de tiempo de cada variable de manera trimestral. Para medir el impacto del gasto en la delincuencia, se realizó un modelo econométrico y se estimó con el método de Mínimos Cuadrados Generalizados y se utilizó una variable de control siendo esta el nivel de desempleo. En el presente estudio evidencia que cuando el gasto público en seguridad aumenta en 1%, la delincuencia, medida a través de denuncias policiales, disminuye en 0.39%. Asimismo, se utilizó una variable de control siendo esta el nivel de desempleo, obteniéndose que sí el nivel de desempleo aumenta en 1% el nivel de delincuencia aumentaría en 0.92%. Finalmente, se concluye que el gasto público en seguridad influye de manera significativa en reducir el nivel de delincuencia.
ABSTRACT This research is about public spending on citizen security and its impact on the level of crime in the La Libertad Region, during the period 2010 - 2017. The main objective is to determine if public spending on citizen security has influenced the level of Likewise, a descriptive and trend statistical analysis of each variable is made and the impact is measured through a double logarithmic econometric model. The information for this study was obtained through the Ministry of Economy and Finance and the National Institute of Statistics and Informatics, in order to obtain the time series of each variable on a quarterly basis. To measure the impact of spending on crime, an econometric model was made and estimated using the Generalized Minimum Square method and a control variable was used, this being the level of unemployment. In the present study it shows that when public spending on security increases by 1%, crime, measured through police reports, decreases by 0.39%. Likewise, a control variable was used, this being the level of unemployment, obtaining that if the level of unemployment increases by 1%, the level of crime would increase by 0.92%. Finally, it is concluded that public security spending has a significant influence on reducing the level of crime.
ABSTRACT This research is about public spending on citizen security and its impact on the level of crime in the La Libertad Region, during the period 2010 - 2017. The main objective is to determine if public spending on citizen security has influenced the level of Likewise, a descriptive and trend statistical analysis of each variable is made and the impact is measured through a double logarithmic econometric model. The information for this study was obtained through the Ministry of Economy and Finance and the National Institute of Statistics and Informatics, in order to obtain the time series of each variable on a quarterly basis. To measure the impact of spending on crime, an econometric model was made and estimated using the Generalized Minimum Square method and a control variable was used, this being the level of unemployment. In the present study it shows that when public spending on security increases by 1%, crime, measured through police reports, decreases by 0.39%. Likewise, a control variable was used, this being the level of unemployment, obtaining that if the level of unemployment increases by 1%, the level of crime would increase by 0.92%. Finally, it is concluded that public security spending has a significant influence on reducing the level of crime.
Description
Keywords
Gasto público, Seguridad ciudadana, Delincuencia, La Libertad